| Long term change processes, interactions between partial markets and policy sectors |
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Should your region prioritize export activities or expand existing value chains? What is the likely impact of support policies on the future employment development in a region? Which strategy has the highest impact? How do budget and investment decisions have to be calibrated and timed in long term development processes that affect several policy sectors and project areas? How do the interactions between the dairy and meat market influence the development of agricultural structures and incomes? How do liberalization and free trade agreements shift the balance between the dairy and meat market? Dynamic simulation models allow us to analyze development processes over time and estimate both the short and long term impact of development strategies. We can generate statements about the likely development of a region within a specific time frame and as a result of sectoral support strategies or investments.
Practical examples:
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"Man weiss nie, was daraus wird, wenn die Dinge verändert werden. Aber weiss man denn, was daraus wird, wenn sie nicht verändert werden?"
Elias Canetti, Schriftsteller
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Methods & Tools System Dynamics
