Flury&Giuliani GmbH

dipl. geogr., Dr. sc. techn.

System Dynamics Group, Department of Geography, University of Bergen

Research interests

• Regional transformation processes in industrialized countries: Regional rural development; employment, population and innovation dynamics
• Transformation processes in developing countries: National development planning, agricultural development, food security
• Model based policy analysis and design with a specialization in system dynamics modelling
• Model based knowledge transfer: using simulation models for learning applied to the management of socioeconomic transformation processes

Education

Professional experience

Teaching experience

• University of Bergen: Model based development planning, since 2008
• ETH Zurich: Angewandte Methoden der Agrar- und Regionalwirtschaft (Applied Methods in Agricultural and Regional Economics), since SS 2005.
• Guest lecturer Institute of Geography, University of Zurich, course "Methoden und Ansätze der Wirtschaftsgeographie" (Methods and Approaches in Economic Geography), SS 2005, SS 2006.
• Supervision of PhD theses, master theses and semester works

Selected publications
Papers in peer review journals

Combining system dynamics and conjoint analysis for the design of sustainable policies to increase food security in sub-Saharan African countries. Systems Research and Behavioral Science (accepted). Kopainsky B., Tröger K., Derwisch S., Ulli-Beer S.

Foreign direct investment and spillover in seed sector development. An assessment of the impact of Intellectual Property Rights. African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and Development 3(2): 144-168. Derwisch S., Kopainsky B. 2011.

A model-based analysis of costs and benefits of DDT versus non-DDT malaria control. PLoS ONE 6(11): e27771. Pedercini M., Movilla Blanco S., Kopainsky B. 2011. 2011.

Simulator-supported descriptions of complex dynamic problems: Experimental results on task performance and system understanding. System Dynamics Review 27(2): 142-172. Kopainsky, B., Sawicka, A. 2011.

A blend of planning and learning: Simplifying a simulation model of national development. Simulation and Gaming 41(5): 641-662. Kopainsky B., Pedercini M., Davidsen P.I., Alessi S.M. 2010.

Closing the loop: Promoting synergies with other theory building approaches to improve system dynamics practice. Systems Research and Behavioral Science 25(4): 471-486. Kopainsky B., Luna-Reyes L.F. 2008

Wie weiter mit der dezentralen Besiedlung in der Schweiz? Abschätzung von Entwicklungsperspektiven auf der Basis eines dynamischen Simulationsmodells. Geographica Helvetica 2005/04: 239-247. Kopainsky B., Rieder P. 2005.


Papers in other journals

Modellierung eines liberalisierten Marktzutritts. Agrarwirtschaft und Agrarsoziologie 07/02: 113-130. Flury C., Kopainsky B. 2007.

Dezentrale Besiedlung: Wer ersetzt die Landwirtschaft. Agrarforschung 12 (7): 294-299. Kopainsky B., Rieder P. 2005.

Landwirtschaft und dezentrale Besiedlung? Agrarforschung 12 (7): 288-293. Buchli S. Kopainsky B., Rieder P. 2005.

A System Dynamics approach for the investigation of peripheral and agrarian communities. Agrarwirtschaft und Agrarsoziologie 2003/01: 27-48. Kopainsky B., Buchli S., Rieder P. 2003.

Zukünftige Strukturverbesserungen aus agrarwirtschaftlicher Sicht. In: Vermessung, Photogrammetrie, Kulturtechnik 1999 (12): 740-744. Rieder P., Kopainsky B., Flury C. 2001.


Reviewed conference papers

Providing structural transparency when exploring a model's behavior: Effects on performance and knowledge acquisition. Paper presented at the 29^th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 24-28, Washington DC.Kopainsky B., Alessi S.M., Pirnay-Dummer P. 2011.

Measuring knowledge acquisition in dynamic decision making tasks. Paper presented at the 29^th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 24-28, Washington DC. Kopainsky B., Alessi S.M., Davidsen P.I. 2011.

Tracking performance, understanding and learning in complex game-like environments. Current problems of assessment in system dynamic simulation environments. Paper presented at the 2011 Annual Meeting of the American Educational Research Association, April 8-12, New Orleans LA. Pirnay-Dummer P., Kopainsky B. 2011.

Using systems analysis to assess the impact of Intellectual Property Rights in innovation systems - the case of biotechnology in agriculture. Paper presented at the 5^th Annual Conference of the European Policy for Intellectual Property Association, September 20-21, Maastricht, The Netherlands. Derwisch S., Kopainsky B. 2010.

Dynamics of enforcement and infringement of Intellectual Property Rights and implications for the incentive function. Paper presented at the 28^thSeoul. International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 25-29, Derwisch S., Kopainsky B. 2010.

Exploratory strategies for simulation-based learning about national development. Paper presented at the 27^th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 26-30, 2009, Albuquerque, New Mexico. Kopainsky B., Alessi S.M., Pedercini M., Davidsen P.I. 2009.

Model-based exploration of strategies for fostering adoption of improved seed in West Africa. Paper presented at the 27^th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 26-30, 2009, Albuquerque, New Mexico. Kopainsky B., Derwisch S. 2009.

How can we assess whether our simulation models improve the system understanding for the ones interacting with them? Paper presented at the 27^th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 26-30, 2009, Albuquerque, New Mexico. Tabacaru M., Kopainsky B., Sawicka A., Stave K.A., Skaza H. 2009.

Foreign Direct Investment and spillovers in seed sector development. Towards an assessment of the impact of intellectual property rights. Paper presented at the 27^th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 26-30, 2009, Albuquerque, New Mexico. Derwisch S., Kopainsky B., Henson-Apollonio V. 2009.

Learning about Dynamic Problems with Computer Simulators: A Case of System Dynamics Simulation Models. Eighth IEEE International Conference on Advanced Learning Technologies, 2008 (ICALT 08, July 1-5): 569-571. Sawicka A., Kopainsky B., Gonzales J. 2008.

Simulation-enhanced descriptions of dynamic problems: Initial experimental results. Peer reviewed conference paper presented at the 26 th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 21-24, 2008, Athens. Sawicka, A., Kopainsky, B. 2008.

Making the value chain work - Analysing the impact of Intellectual Property Management on seed sector development in West Africa. Peer reviewed conference paper presented at the 26 th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 21-24, 2008, Athens. Derwisch S., Kopainsky B., Pöhlmann S. 2008.

A System dynamics-based multi-user domain for improving national development planning. Peer reviewed conference p aper presented at the American Educational Research Association Annual Meeting, March 24-28, 2008, New York. Alessi S.M., Kopainsky B., Davidsen P.I., Pedercini M. 2008.

Agriculture's contribution to rural viability: An approach to estimate regional economic impacts of agricultural policy in Swiss case study regions. Paper presented at the 107 th European Association of Agricultural Economists Seminar "Modelling Agricultural and Rural Development Policies", January 29-February 1 st , 2008, Sevilla. Kopainsky, B., Flury, C. and Giuliani, G 2008.

Blending planning and learning for national development. Peer reviewed conference paper presented at the 25 th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 29-August 02, 2007, Boston). Pedercini M., Kopainsky B., Davidsen P.I., Alessi S.M. 2007.

Simulation for development planning: How system dynamics models can help make better strategic decisions for long-term development. Paper presented at the 2nd Nordic Geographers Meeting, June 15-17, 2007, Bergen, Norway. Pedercini M., Kopainsky B. 2007.

Modeling the liberalisation of market access. Paper presented at the 24 th International System Dynamics Conference Nijmegen, The Netherlands, 23.-27.07.2006. Flury C., Kopainsky B. 2006.

Agriculture and rural development: A quantitative analysis of agriculture's economic and social impacts in Swiss regions. Paper presented at the 96th EAAE Seminar "Causes and Impacts of Agricultural Structures" January 10-11, 2006, Taenikon, Switzerland. Buchli S., Giuliani G., Kopainsky B. 2006.

Who replaces agriculture's contribution to settlement in lagging rural areas? An integrated input-output and dynamic simulation analysis. Background paper of a poster presented at the 11th International Congress of the European Association of Agricultural Economists EAAE, 'The Future of Rural Europe in the Global Agri-Food System', Copenhagen, Denmark, August 24-27, 2005. Kopainsky B., Buser B., Rieder P. 2005.

Reflections on theory building and theory integration following a system dynamics approach. Paper presented at the 23 rd International System Dynamics Conference Boston MA, USA, 17.-21.07.2005. CD Rom. Kopainsky B., Luna-Reyes, L.F. 2005.

Modeling the liberalisation of the Swiss milk market. Paper presented at the 23 rd International System Dynamics Conference Boston MA, USA, 17.-21.07.2005. CD Rom. Flury, C., Mack, G., Kopainsky, B. 2005.

Envisioning and probing the model for policy learning and scenario planning. Paper presented at the 23 rd International System Dynamics Conference Boston MA, USA, 17.-21.07.2005. CD Rom. Ulli-Beer S., Kopainsky B., Kaufmann-Hayoz R., Haefeli U. 2005.

Processes and determinants of rural development in Switzerland. Paper presented at the 22 nd International System Dynamics Conference Oxford, England, 25.-29.07.2004. CD Rom. Kopainsky B., Rieder P. 2004.

How peripheral and agrarian communities work and how their viability can be improved - insights from a System Dynamics approach. Paper presented at the Regional Studies Association International Conference "Reinventing Regions in the Global Economy", Pisa, Italy, 12.-15.04.2003. Kopainsky B., Buchli S., Rieder P. 2003.

Policy and outcome contrasts in the evaluation of the effects of structural change in Swiss mountain agriculture using Linear Programming and System Dynamics. Paper presented at 21 st International System Dynamics Conference, New York, 20.-24.07.2003. CD-Rom. Kopainsky B., Flury C., Rieder P. 2003.


Books and reports

A model-based analysis of costs and benefits of DDT versus non-DDT malaria control. Millennium Institute Working Paper, April 2011. Washington D.C.: Millennium Institute.  Pedercini M., Movilla Blanco S., Kopainsky B. 2011.

A system dynamics analysis of socio-economic development in lagging Swiss regions. Berichte aus der Volkswirtschaft. Aachen: Shaker-Verlag. Kopainsky B. 2005.

Wege und Möglichkeiten zur Entwicklung der Landwirtschaft von Scuol in den nächsten zehn bis zwanzig Jahren. Strategieentwicklung anhand der Nutzwertanalyse. ETH Zürich: Institut für Agrarwirtschaft. Rieder P. und B. Kopainsky 2005.

Erfüllung des Verfassungsauftrages durch die Landwirtschaft unter besonderer Berücksichtigung ihres Beitrags zur dezentralen Besiedlung. Forschungsprojekt zuhanden des Bundesamtes für Landwirtschaft. ETH Zürich: Institut für Agrarwirtschaft. Rieder P., Buchli S. und B. Kopainsky 2004.

Wirtschaftsstrukturen der Gemeinde Medel (Lucmagn). ETH Zürich: Institut für Agrarwirtschaft. Buchli S., Kopainsky B., Furrer H.P., Rieder, P. 2003.

Multifunctionality: Applying the OECD Framework. A Review of Literature in Switzerland. Paris: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Anwander Phan-huy, S., Kopainsky B., Rieder P. 2001.

Konzept zur Beurteilung einer nachhaltigen Landwirtschaft. Unveröffentlichte Diplomarbeit. Universität Zürich: Geographisches Institut. Kopainsky B. 2000.


Book chapters
Model based analysis: Explorative migration-development scenarios in Cape Verde. In: IOM (International Organization for Migration). The MIDA experience and beyond. Operationalizing migration for development across regions. IOM, Geneva: 122-137. Pedercini, M., Kopainsky, B. 2009.

Nachhaltige Nutzungskonzepte in der Primärproduktion im schweizerischen Alpenraum, auf dem Hintergrund der nationalen Politik. In: Gamerith W., Messerli P., Meusburger P., Wanner H. (Hrsg.). Alpenwelt - Gebirgswelten. Inseln, Brücken, Grenzen. Heidelberg/ Bern: 379-387. Rieder P., Kopainsky B., Buchli S., Buser B. 2004.

Die zukünftige Rolle der Landwirtschaft bei der dezentralen Besiedlung des Berggebiets: Kritische Faktoren und erste Ergebnisse eines dynamischen Simulationsmodells auf Gemeindeebene. In: Dabbert S., Grosskopf W., Heidhues F., Zeddies J. (Hrsg.). Perspektiven in der Landnutzung - Regionen, Landschaften, Betriebe - Entscheidungsträger und Instrumente. Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaus e.V. Band 39: 445-450. Kopainsky B., Rieder P. 2004.

• System Dynamics Society, member of the Policy Council 2009-2011, member since 2002.
• Swiss Chapter of the System Dynamics, member since 2004; founding president 2004-2006.
• Schweizerische Gesellschaft für Agrarwirtschaft und Agrarsoziologie, member since 2000.
• Geographisch-Ethnographische Gesellschaft Zürich, member since 2000.

Organisation of workshops and conferences

• Organisation of the Special Session "Model based development planning" at the 2 nd Nordic Geographers Meeting, Bergen, Norway, 16.06.2007.
• Organisation Panel Discussion "Career development - options with a PhD in System Dynamics" at the PhD Colloquiums, 22nd International System Dynamics Conference, Oxford, England, 25.07.2004.

Newsletters

• Kopainsky B. 2010. Modeling Approaches. Report on the parallel session at the 28^th International System Dynamics Conference Seoul, South Korea, 25.-29.07.2010. Newsletter of the System Dynamics Society Fall 2010.
• Kopainsky B. 2008. Pedagogy Research, Interactive Learning Environments. Report on the parallel session at the 26 th International System Dynamics Conference Athens, Greece, 20.-24.07.2008. Newsletter of the System Dynamics Society Fall 2008.
• Kopainsky B. 2007. Development economics. Report on the parallel session at the 25th International System Dynamics Conference Boston, MA, 29.07.-02.08.2007. Newsletter of the System Dynamics Society Fall 2007.
• Kopainsky B. 2006. Resource Management and Institutions. Report on the parallel session at the 24th International System Dynamics Conference Nijmegen, The Netherlands, 23.-27.07.2006. Newsletter of the System Dynamics Society Fall 2006.
• Kopainsky B. 2005. Economic Transitions. Report on the parallel session at the 23rd International System Dynamics Conference Boston MA, USA, 17.-21.07.2005. Newsletter of the System Dynamics Society Fall 2005.
• Kopainsky B. 2004. Economic Dynamics - Macroeconomic Dynamics. Report on the parallel session at the 22nd International System Dynamics Conference Oxford, England, 25.-29.07.2004. Newsletter of the System Dynamics Society Fall 2004.

Reviewer

• System Dynamics Review, since 2007.
• International System Dynamics Conference, since 2003.
• Jahrestagung Schweizerische Gesellschaft für Agrarwirtschaft und Agrarsoziologie, since 2005.

Boards

• University of Berne, mentoring phil.nat, mentor
• University of Bergen, evaluation committee for PhD applications, since 2010
• System Dynamics Society, Nominating Committee, 2009-2012.
• System Dynamics Society, member of the Policy Council, 2009-2011.
• Swiss Chapter of the System Dynamics Society, founding president, 2004-2006
• Student Chapter of the System Dynamics Society, president, 2002-2004
• Scientific advisory board, EU Framework Programme 6, project "insure - A flexible framework for indicators for sustainability in regions using System Dynamics modelling", 2005/2006.